coin reports Top Block

2024-12-14 01:25:11

The general direction is that the country wants the stock market to be bullish, so can it be proved technically? Among many technical analysis indicators, I only look at four indicators: K-line, MA, MACD and volume, and I must use long-term indicators to judge the general direction, that is, monthly and quarterly indicators.2. The CPI of the United States in November was in line with expectations, and the interest rate cut was stable!As soon as the data came out, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December rose to 97.7%, and there was basically no suspense! The fed's continued interest rate cuts will naturally help our monetary policy to be more relaxed, which is good for the big A!


Now the national policy is obvious, that is, to build a financial power and do a good job in the stock market. This is the general trend. If you deny this, then don't speculate. Technical analysis is icing on the cake, and it won't be a gift in the snow. Therefore, it is reasonable to say that the role of technical analysis is only 20% whether stock trading makes money.2. The CPI of the United States in November was in line with expectations, and the interest rate cut was stable!In the past two months, domestic capital has flowed out by more than 1.5 trillion yuan. There are mainly three types of funds flowing out. First, some new investors who came in in October stopped playing. The second is that institutional funds run away, and the third is the reduction of industrial capital+size. In a word, institutions must be one of the forces of market smashing. This round of market is not that institutions don't believe in bull market, but that people don't believe in institutions. If they can't get money, they naturally have no market pricing power.


According to the market style rotation in the first half of the year, the non-mainstream styles are short-lived rotation. In the first half of the year, the mainstream dividend was high, and it was a new low after the rapid rotation of other industries. Now, the same high dividend is not cost-effective. After the rapid rotation, the market opportunity will still be the mainstream theme, low price and small ticket style. This is the decision of incremental funds, and incremental funds will definitely not engage in high-ranking institutions and the direction of the national team's heavy position.If you can't, it means that the winning rate of every small decision you make is not high. Small decisions with low winning rate will be amplified by high-frequency operation, and the result is that the more you do, the more mistakes you make. Therefore, retail investors want to make money through high-frequency decision-making to predict the market, and the probability of success is doomed to be very low, and they can't make a few money. The short-term market is almost a pure game market, but in the long run, the stock price will always fluctuate around the intrinsic value, even a shares are no exception.In the past two months, domestic capital has flowed out by more than 1.5 trillion yuan. There are mainly three types of funds flowing out. First, some new investors who came in in October stopped playing. The second is that institutional funds run away, and the third is the reduction of industrial capital+size. In a word, institutions must be one of the forces of market smashing. This round of market is not that institutions don't believe in bull market, but that people don't believe in institutions. If they can't get money, they naturally have no market pricing power.

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